14 Apr 22
Cyberspace and War in Ukraine: Prepare for Worse
Despite the few breakdowns—so far—in cyberspace beyond Ukraine, the risk of major cyber incidents has increased rather than diminished, write our postdoctoral researcher Monica Kaminska and Lucas Kello in a blog post for Lawfare.
Some observers have noted the absence of major cyber incidents during Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The situation does not afford complacency, however. Despite the few breakdowns—so far—in cyberspace beyond Ukraine, their risk has increased rather than diminished. The apparent lull in international cyber activity related to the war is likely illusory; it portends a deterioration in the security of computer systems and networks in Russia and in the nations that sanctioned it or armed Ukraine. Below we explain why.